But with tens of millions of people in the wider region already dependent on food aid, a humanitarian crisis, or even famine, could can happen quickly.Herding communities like the Samburu in northern Kenya fear that once the rains end, a final generation of locusts will decimate the rangeland, leaving their cattle, goats, donkeys and camels to die of hunger. With a wide sweep of her right hand, Ndavu counts about 10 avocado, mango and paw paw trees that are losing their boughs after the infestation.The locust invasion that swept over farms in rural Kenya from December 2019 has left farmers like Ndavu not only counting crop losses, but struggling with emerging environmental and health problems.

The World Bank estimates that the cost of supporting farmers and producers affected by locusts in East Africa and Yemen alone could reach $8.5bn by the end of 2020.

Remote weather stations could help to capture data that reveals such weather variations and gives farmers time to start spraying early.For Munyithya Kimwele, a farmer in Mathyakani, investing in forecasting is the best option for families to be prepared for future locust swarms.

At Ndavu’s village, the locusts occupied about 20 sq km (7.7 sq miles) of vegetation when they swarmed.The effort of trying to scare locusts away by shouting has taken its toll on both children and adults in affected villages (Credit: Getty Images)The invasion has taken its toll on mental health in the village of Mathyakani. For instance, Yego says, UN agencies that have committed to fight the swarms rarely risk taking their personnel to countries like Hence, when a country like Kenya makes headway in containing locusts, those that have bred and hatched in less politically stable countries often swarm across borders. It’s as terrifying as COVID-19.”Desert locusts flourish when arid areas are doused with rain, because they seek to lay their eggs in Albert Lemasulani, a Kenyan pastoralist, has voluntarily tracked locust swarms for the Kenyan government and the FAO since the insects appeared near his hometown of Oldonyiro, in northern Kenya, in January. Drawn to an emaciated avocado drooping from a drying mother tree, Esther Ndavu wonders aloud if it will ever mature into the fist-sized oval fruit that keeps city residents going. The manure produced by her six cows remains with the hosts as additional payment.“I have gone through a lot of challenges growing up as an orphan,” says Ndavu. That makes international peacebuilding and political stability a key part of dealing with locusts, says Yego.Until such large-scale international solutions are possible, the people of Mathyakani are working hard to adopt and build post-locust resilience, says Ndavu. “Long ago traditional forecasts would help villages prepare for locust invasions. “The children wake me up when they begin screaming at night. “We also train them on how to take advantage of the irrigation project and establish kitchen gardens to guard them against future food shocks.” The question of whether the Horn of Africa could experience worse plagues of locusts in future is a difficult one to answer, according to Ezra Kipruto Yego, the Sustainable Development Goal coordinator of the UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network.Yego sees a possible link between climate change, extreme weather events and locust swarms in East Africa. “We have had delays in supply. Another surge would put between In mid-February, Kenya’s government announced it was focusing its intervention measures in areas heavily infested with locusts in the north. A devastating locust outbreak is threatening millions of people with hunger.

That assessment would then help the government come up with a plan on how it would support livelihoods of Kenyans affected by the locust invasions. Lemasulani says he tries to locate them in the afternoons, so pesticide sprayers have the best chance of finding them.Even more difficult in places such as Kenya that have little experience with gigantic locust invasions is deciding where to spray. Instead of relying on traditional crops like maize and cowpeas, which are more vulnerable to locusts, a growing number of farmers are investing in fruit and vegetables.This has been made possible by village irrigation projects that Action Aid Kenya, in partnership with some farmers, established there in 2009.

For more than a week during the infestation, Ndavu’s children could not go to school. “We pray God will clear the locusts for us. 450 billion locusts have been killed this year, but devastating swarms still ravage Africa, India and the Middle East James Pasley 2020-06-23T18:04:24Z “I can’t tell you if it’s by 20 times, but [the population] is much bigger,” says Cyril Ferrand, Resilience Team Leader for East Africa at the FAO, which monitors the desert locust situation globally.When the first wave of locusts arrived in the region in late 2019, most of last year’s crops had reached maturity or been harvested. Gigantic new locust swarms hit East Africa New invasions are hitting just as growing season gets underway, threatening millions with hunger. Depending on the winds, which largely To chase down these highly mobile swarms, the FAO is relying increasingly on information provided by local people, including Lemasulani, who began voluntarily tracking locust swarms in January.Drawing on an extensive network of contacts who call him when they spot pockets of the insects, Lemasulani hires motorbike taxis to speed him to swarms.